Question 1 You are offered the following
gamble: 100 flips of an unbiased coin. For every head you are paid $2; for every
tail, you pay $1. How probable is it that you would you accept the gamble?
Very Improbable Improbable Neither
Improbable nor Probable Probable
Very Probable
Questions 2-3 Here is a description of a
hypothetical person named Linda: Linda is 31 years old, single, outspoken,
and very bright. She had a double major in philosophy and music. As a student,
she was deeply concerned with issues of discrimination and social justice, and
also participated in anti-nuclear demonstrations.
Question 2 Please choose the more probable
case: Linda is a bank teller. Linda is a bank teller and a feminist.
Question 3 Please choose the more probable
case: Linda is a feminist. Linda is a bank teller and a feminist.
Question 4 In an independent survey of high
school and college instructors, ninety percent agreed that students who have a
computer receive better grades. We can conclude that: Owning a computer helps get better grades. Buying a computer will improve grades. Both A and B Neither A nor B
Question 5 All families of six children in a
large city were surveyed. In 72 families the exact birth order of births of boys
and girls was GBGBBG. What is your estimate of the number of families surveyed
in which the exact order of births was BGBBBB? Choose the closest answer.
18 36 54 72 102
Question 6 You are offered the following
gamble: one flip of an unbiased coin. If heads, you are paid $200; if tails, you
pay $100. How probable is it that you would you accept the gamble? Very Improbable Improbable Neither
Improbable nor Probable Probable
Very Probable
Question 7 If you were required to make a
choice between the following two alternatives, which one would you choose?
A 100 percent chance of losing $50.
A 25 percent chance of losing $200, and
a 75 percent chance of losing nothing.
No Preference.
Question 8 Read the following passage three
times.
These functional fuses have been developed after years of scientific
investigation of electric events, combined with the fruit of long experience on
the part of the two investigators who have come forward with them for our
meetings today.
Now simply read the passage once more counting the number of f letters. How
many times does the letter f appear in the passage? Make your choice without
rereading the passage again. 6 or less
7 8 9 10 or more
Question 9 Which of the following sequences
of Heads and Tails was more likely to have been generated by a random process
with an unbiased coin? HTHTTH
THTTTT Both sequences are equally likely.
Question 10 If you were required to make a
choice between the following two alternatives, which one would you choose?
A 100 percent chance of winning $50.
A 25 percent chance of winning $200,
and a 75 percent chance of winning nothing. No preference.
Question 11 The mean IQ of the population of
eighth graders in a city is known to be 100. A random sample of 50 children are
tested. The first child has an IQ of 150. What do you expect the mean IQ to be
for the whole sample? 100 150 101
Not given.
Question 12 There is a situation known as the
"Sports Illustrated jinx". Highly successful athletes and teams tend to
experience a drop in performance immediately after appearing on the cover of
Sports Illustrated magazine . The proper interpretation of this
relationship is: Fame goes to the head
and the athlete performs more poorly due to overconfidence. Knowing about this jinx creates anxiety and leads to poorer
performance. A statistical phenomenon in
which high or low scores tend to be followed by more average scores. There is currently no reasonable explanation.
Question 13 You are in a game show with an
attractive prize behind one of a million doors. You are asked to pick the door
that has the prize. You pick a door, say Door 12,586. The host, who knows what
is behind each door, selectively opens all of the other doors except Door
698,453. You are then given the option of changing your choice; in this case,
you could pick Door 698,453. Is it to your advantage to switch your choice in
this game? Yes No
Question 14 In a study of brain tumors, 250
hospitalized neurology patients were classified as follows:
Brain Tumor Present
Brain Tumor Absent
Dizziness present
160
40
Dizziness absent
40
10
According to the table, is dizziness associated with having a brain tumor?
Yes No Maybe No answer possible.
Question 15 In a study of brain tumors, 250
hospitalized neurology patients were classified as follows.
Brain Tumor Present
Brain Tumor Absent
Dizziness present
180
30
Dizziness absent
30
10
According to the table, is dizziness associated with having a brain tumor?
Yes No Maybe No answer possible.
Question 16 Solve the problem: Each of four
cards has a number on one side and a letter on the other. Which cards must be
turned over to test the hypothesis, "If a card has a vowel on one side, then it
has an odd number on the other side"? The four cards are showing 6, L, U, and 9,
respectively. L and U U U and 9
6, L, and U U and 6
Question 17 You are in a game show with an
attractive prize behind one of three doors. You are asked to pick the door that
has the prize. You pick a door, say Door 1. The host, who knows what is behind
each door, selectively opens another door, say Door 3, with no prize behind it.
You are then given the option of changing your choice; in this case, you could
pick Door 2. Is it to your advantage to switch your choice in this game?
Yes No
Question 18 View the pairs of lines in the
left and right halves of this figure.
The two lines are parallel in
the left half. Neither pair of lines is
parallel. The two lines are parallel in
the right half. Both pairs of lines are
parallel. None of the above
Question 19 How many animals of each kind did
Moses take on the ark? 1 2 40
Can't say
Question 20 What hero does Clark Kent become
when he changes in a toll booth?
Spiderman Superman Batman
Can't say
Question 21 The final score of a baseball game
was 9 to 8, but no man on either team had crossed home plate. Is this possible?
Yes No
Question 22 A father and son went for a drive and had a serious
car accident killing the father and seriously injuring the son. The boy was
rushed to the hospital, and the doctor on duty said, "I can't operate on this
boy, he's my son." Is this possible?
Yes No
Question 23 A psychic claims to know the score
of an important game before it begins. Do you believe her? Yes No
Question 24 Consider the following categorical
syllogistic reasoning. All psychologists are scientists. Some scientists
are mortal. Some psychologists are mortal. This argument is valid. This
argument is invalid. The conclusion is
true. The conclusion is not true.
Alternatives B and C.
Question 25 Consider the following categorical
syllogistic reasoning. All xenos are oxons. All oxons are red. Some
xenos are red. This argument is valid.
This argument is invalid. The conclusion is true. The conclusion is not true. Alternatives B and C.
Question 26 If p, then q. I observe p.
Therefore, I conclude that q must be the case. This argument is valid. This
argument is invalid. The conclusion is
true. The conclusion is not true.
Alternatives A and C.
Question 27 If p, then q. I observe q.
Therefore, I conclude that p must be the case. This argument is valid. This
argument is invalid. The conclusion is
true. The conclusion is not true.
Alternatives B and C.
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